My Personal Views on Interest Rate Cuts

Let me talk about my personal views on interest rate cuts. If there is no mention of interest rate cuts this March, interest rates will definitely be cut in the third and fourth quarters. In the meantime, there will be the respective benefits of halving and the general election.In order to improve the market trend, Wall Street institutions have been saying since November last year that the United States will cut interest rates beyond expectations. Some say that they will cut interest rates 5-7 times a year. They say that they will keep an ultra-optimistic view from the beginning to the end of the year. However, the Federal Reserve has always been cautious about cutting interest rates and has been saying that it may only cut interest rates once or twice this year.My opinion is that this interest rate cut will start in June. Of course, this is not certain. It means that there is a possibility of interest rate cuts. The key is inflation data. U.S. interest rate cuts usually start close to 3%. The December CPI announced this time was 3.9%. There is still some distance to go before 3%During last night's sharp drop, many people didn't understand why it fell like a bird despite being a hawk. In fact, the main reason was due to overheated expectations of interest rate cuts. But Powell said that interest rates will definitely start to be cut this year, but not so quickly, and the wording about raising interest rates was deleted from the statement. This shows one thing: the interest rate hikes have been fully completed, and the interest rate cuts are just preparations. The stage is under planningTo summarize: Inflation is uncertain, interest rate hikes are over, and interest rate cuts are being prepared. Interest rates will be cut this year but not too much.