昨天，比特幣在似乎勢不可擋的長期上漲之後錄得第一根修正蠟燭，導致期貨市場清算超過 10 億美元。
自今天早上以來，價格已部分從暴跌中恢復，達到 66,500 美元上方，並為牛市持續下去帶來了希望。
許多人預計未來幾天會出現更明顯的逆轉，但事實真的會如此嗎？
下面，加密貨幣未來價格的分析與預測。
比特幣被拒絕創歷史新高：閃電崩盤至 59,000 美元，期貨清算 10 億美元
昨天，比特幣似乎如此強勁，以至於預計將創下新的歷史高點，數位黃金的價格越來越接近 69,000 美元的目標，這一目標在 2021 年 11 月才達到過一次。
然而，一旦達到決定性的水平， 報價就真正開始顯現出來 ，在同一交易時間內使價格跌破 67,000 美元，然後在接下來的幾個小時內繼續下跌，直到導致閃電崩盤，跌至 59,000 美元左右。
儘管許多市場分析師預測了這種規模的崩盤的可能性，但考慮到過去的價格趨勢， 許多交易者仍陷入恐慌。
對於Coinbase上的歐洲交易員來說，看跌操作期間的焦慮感更大，以至於比特幣跌至49,500歐元，短短3小時內暴跌23.5%。
如此大規模的價格下跌引發了 許多比特幣槓桿期貨部位的清算 ， 總價值達 11.8 億美元。
其中，多頭部位為8.9億美元，空頭部位為2.9億美元。
通常，當加密貨幣市場「槓桿過高」時，它會以蠟燭做出反應，掃除所有頂級投機者，恢復交易時段的秩序和平靜。
在昨天的爆倉文章中，我們談到了槓桿需求如此強烈的市場的內在危險， 在某些情況下資金費率高達0.25%。
比特幣和以太幣的價格已達到 0.1% 以上，但今天其價值幾乎減半，消除了市場異常現象。
多頭仍然控制著局勢，並要求市場提供大部分財務槓桿，但同時他們也不像昨天那麼有信心。
查看Coinalyze圖表，我們注意到，即使是未平倉合約也急劇放緩，在幾個小時內縮回了28億美元，但立即收復了20億美元的失地並重新定位以進行新的向上攀升。
The volume on futures markets is up 40% in the last 24 hours, indicating strong interest in trading, amounting to 214 billion dollars according to Coinglass data.
Now the hardest part is to stay clear-headed and analyze the Bitcoin chart objectively, without being swayed by emotions and irrationality, and making a price prediction based on data.
Analysis and future price prediction: is the Bitcoin bull run already over?
After yesterday’s flash crash, several traders mistakenly shouted the end of the bull market convinced that after the outcome of a single daily candle it is possible to establish the reversal of a trend so strong that has been continuously rising since October 2023.
Although yesterday’s correction may certainly open the doors to a broader tracking phase, at the same time the medium-term bullish forecasts aiming for a clear surpassing of historical highs remain unchanged.
As long as the price of Bitcoin remains above $60,000, we find all the technical conditions necessary to continue to be bullish on the imminent future of the crypto.
The outcome of the negotiations in the coming hours will depend heavily on a possible new break of the highs or on a stagnation of prices below that figure.
In the first case, we could celebrate another bullish run, which would culminate this time in a phase of price discovery for BTC.
In the second case, however, we could expect another dump from here until the end of the week, which, however, will push down below the minimum touched yesterday with low probability.
At this point we must emphasize, to the joy of bears, that the market volumes in this post-dump phase of Bitcoin are very low, and not at all encouraging for another bullish acceleration.
If the volumes do not reach the opening of the US markets, the trend could be destined to decrease in the short term.
Anyway, the most likely forecast for the next few days is a ranging between $69,000 and $60,000, with crypto prices potentially fluctuating heavily within this range.
The bull run is not over yet, and we still have months of pure fun ahead before the bears can truly take control of the situation.
However, in this phase of pause, where prices must settle at a fair value after large sessions of speculative trading, it is advisable not to expose oneself excessively on altcoins or on leveraged positions, as the risk of getting hurt is very high.
Medium and long-term forecasts always indicate a largely positive scenario for Bitcoin and the rest of the crypto market, but now is the time to stop and breathe, waiting for new candles to give us the right indication on short-term price action.
