2 月 12 日至 2 月 16 日期間,流入現貨比特幣 (BTC) 交易所交易基金 (ETF) 的資金超過 22 億美元,顯示投資者興趣濃厚。 彭博分析師 Eric Balchunas 在X 貼文中表示,貝萊德的iShares 比特幣信託(IBIT) 今年迄今已吸引了52 億美元的資金流入,「佔貝萊德417只ETF 淨流入總額的50%」。
比特幣本週繼續上漲,上漲約 7%,但多頭面臨 52,000 美元附近的強勁阻力。 近期的擔憂之一是破產的加密貸款公司 Genesis 可能會出售價值約 13 億美元的灰階比特幣信託股票以償還債權人。
加密貨幣市場數據每日查看。 來源: Coin360
如果比特幣在短期內盤整,行動可能會轉向山寨幣。 過去幾天突破各自上方阻力位的部分山寨幣可能會繼續上漲。
比特幣能否在短期內避免拋售? 如果確實如此,讓我們來看看可能會延續上漲走勢的前 5 名加密貨幣的圖表。
比特幣價格分析
比特幣一直面臨著接近 52,000 美元的拋售。 2 月 17 日,空頭試圖將價格壓低至 50,000 美元以下,但燭台上的長尾顯示逢低買盤強勁。
BTC/USDT 日線圖。 來源: TradingView
52,000 美元阻力位的小幅修正表明多頭並不急於獲利了結,因為他們預計上漲趨勢將持續。 如果價格突破並維持在 52,000 美元上方,BTC/USDT 貨幣對可能會開始向北進軍至 60,000 美元。
持續上漲的一個小風險是相對強弱指數(RSI)在一段時間內一直處於超買區域。 這顯示近期漲勢可能過熱。
空頭必須將價格拉至 20 天指數移動平均線(47,809 美元)以下,以顯示調整階段的開始。 然後該貨幣對可能會滑向 50 日簡單移動平均線(44,441 美元)。
BTC/USDT 4 小時圖。 來源:TradingView
空頭將價格拉低至 4 小時圖上的 20 日均線下方,但無法維持較低水準。 這表明多頭正試圖大力保護該水平。 買家必須克服 52,817 美元的障礙,才能增加上漲至 55,000 美元的可能性。
如果空頭想要阻止上漲,他們將不得不將價格拖至移動平均線以下。 隨後該貨幣對可能會跌至 48,970 美元的突破位。 多頭將努力守住這一水平,但如果他們的努力失敗,該貨幣對可能會跌至 47,000 美元,最終跌至 44,700 美元。
BNB價格分析
BNB (BNB) is in an uptrend, but the rally is facing headwinds near the stiff resistance at $360. A minor positive is that the bulls have not ceded ground to the bears.
BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The upsloping 20-day EMA ($328) and the RSI near the overbought territory indicate that the path of least resistance is to the upside. If buyers achieve a close above $360, the BNB/USDT pair could start the next leg of the journey to $400. This level may prove to be a difficult hurdle to cross, but if overcome, the next stop could be $460.
Conversely, if the price closes below $348, the short-term traders may book profits. That could start a correction to the 20-day EMA and then to the 50-day SMA ($313). A short-term trend change will be signaled if the pair closes below the 50-day SMA.
BNB/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView
The bulls are trying to defend the 20-EMA on the 4-hour chart, but the bears have kept up the pressure. If the price turns up from the current level, the bulls will attempt to push the pair to $366. A break above this resistance will indicate the resumption of the uptrend. The pair may then rise to $400.
Contrarily, if the price remains below the 20-EMA, it will indicate that the bears are on a comeback. The pair may then tumble to the 50-SMA.
Kaspa price analysis
Kaspa (KAS) surged above the $0.15 overhead resistance on Feb. 17, indicating the resumption of the uptrend.
KAS/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The upsloping 20-day EMA ($0.13) shows an advantage to buyers, but the overbought levels on the RSI suggest that the rally may have run up too fast in the near term. If the price turns down from the current level, it is likely to find support at $0.15. A solid rebound off this level will enhance the prospects of a rally to $0.20.
On the other hand, if the price turns down sharply and breaks below $0.14, it will signal that the uptrend may have ended in the near term. The KAS/USDT pair could then plummet to the 50-day SMA ($0.11).
KAS/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView
The 4-hour chart shows that the pair is facing resistance at $0.17, but a positive sign is that the bulls have not allowed the price to dip below the 20-EMA. The upsloping moving averages and the RSI near the overbought zone indicate advantage to buyers. If the price rises above $0.17, the uptrend could continue to $0.20.
The buyers are expected to defend the zone between the 20-EMA and the 50-SMA on any correction. A break below the 50-SMA may suggest that the bears are back in the driver’s seat.
Related: BTC price dices with $52K as CME Bitcoin futures OI hits record $6.8B
VeChain price analysis
VeChain (VET) picked up momentum after breaking above the 50-day SMA ($0.03) on Feb. 12, indicating aggressive buying by the bulls.
VET/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The VET/USDT pair broke above the $0.04 overhead resistance on Feb. 15, signaling the start of the next leg of the uptrend. However, the long wick on the Feb. 16 candlestick shows that the bears are trying to halt the up move near $0.05.
If buyers do not give up much ground, the possibility of the continuation of the up move increases. If the price closes above $0.05, the pair may soar to $0.07.
Contrary to the assumption, if the price continues lower and breaks below $0.04, it will indicate that the bulls are rushing to the exit. The pair may then slump to the moving averages.
VET/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView
The bulls are trying to arrest the pullback at the 20-EMA on the 4-hour chart. If the price turns up from the current level and breaks above $0.05, it will indicate that the sentiment remains positive and traders continue to buy on dips.
Instead, if the price breaks below the 20-EMA, it will suggest profit booking by the bulls. If the price maintains below the 20-EMA, the pair could plunge to the 50-SMA. A deeper fall is likely to delay the start of the next leg of the rally.
Render price analysis
Render (RNDR) broke and closed above the $5.28 overhead resistance on Feb. 15, indicating the resumption of the uptrend.
RNDR/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The bears tried to pull the price back below the breakout level on Feb. 17, but the bulls held their ground. This indicates that the buyers are trying to flip the $5.28 level into support. If they succeed, the RNDR/USDT pair could rise to the pattern target of $7.
The rally of the past few days pushed the RSI into the overbought zone, indicating the possibility of a minor correction or consolidation. A break and close below $5 will be a sign of weakness and may trap the aggressive bulls. The pair could then plunge to the 50-day SMA ($4.34).
RNDR/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView
The moving averages on the 4-hour chart are sloping up, and the RSI is near 60, indicating that the bulls have the upper hand. If the price rises above $5.71, the pair could rally to $6. The trend will favor the bulls if the price remains above the 20-EMA.
The RSI is forming a negative divergence, indicating that the bullish momentum could be slowing down. If the price skids below the 20-EMA, the decline is likely to reach the 50-SMA. A break below this level may open the doors for a fall to $4.40.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.