美國監管機構最終於1 月10 日批准了比特幣(BTC) 現貨交易所交易基金申請，數隻ETF 於1 月11 日開始交易。這一結果引起了廣泛的討論，以至於該事件並未導致大幅飆升或大幅拋售，表明批准很大程度上已被定價。
即使沒有任何看漲的動力，比特幣 ETF 也引起了交易者足夠的興趣。 數據顯示，新推出的比特幣 ETF 交易第一天總交易量就達到 45 億美元。
每日加密貨幣市場表現。 來源： Coin360
經過初步調整後，隨著交易員等待機構資金開始流入比特幣 ETF，比特幣可能會在短期內進入一個區間。 然而，從長遠來看，比特幣 ETF 以及 2024 年 4 月比特幣減半可能會導致供應緊張，從而推高價格。
哪些關鍵支撐位可能會吸引比特幣和山寨幣的購買？ 讓我們分析一下前 10 名加密貨幣的圖表來找出答案。
比特幣價格分析
從 1 月 10 日的長尾和 1 月 11 日燭台上的長影線可以看出，過去幾天比特幣一直在波動。 這表明在較低水平買入並在逢高賣出。
BTC/USDT 日線圖。 來源： TradingView
空頭已將價格拉低至 44,700 美元的突破水平以下，這表明市場已經拒絕了更高的水平。 多頭將試圖阻止跌勢至 50 日簡單移動平均線（42,404 美元）。
如果價格從 50 日移動平均線反彈，多頭將試圖將價格拉回上方阻力位 44,700 美元上方。 如果他們能成功，BTC/USDT 貨幣對可能會攀升至 49,000 美元，然後升至 52,000 美元。
相反，跌破 50 日移動平均線可能會加速拋售，該貨幣對可能會暴跌至 40,000 美元，最終跌至 37,980 美元。
以太幣價格分析
1 月 10 日，以太幣 (ETH) 飆升至 2,400 美元上方阻力位，標誌著下一階段上升趨勢的開始。
ETH/USDT 日線圖。 來源： TradingView
上行的第一個目標是 2,700 美元，這可能會吸引短線交易者獲利了結。 然而，如果 ETH/USDT 沒有從該水平回撤太多，則表明每次小幅下跌都會被買入。 這可能會改善價格升至 3,000 美元重要心理水平的前景。
下行的第一個支撐位是 2,566 美元。 如果突破該水平，該貨幣對可能會跌至 2,500 美元，然後跌至 2,400 美元的突破水平。
BNB價格分析
BNB (BNB) 的回檔於 1 月 8 日在 20 日均線（300 美元）處停滯，顯示市場情緒依然樂觀，交易者逢低買入。
BNB/USDT 日線圖。 來源： TradingView
The bulls started a recovery on Jan. 10, but they could not maintain the momentum. This suggests that rallies are being sold into. If bears sink and sustain the price below the 20-day EMA, the selling could intensify, and the BNB/USDT pair may plummet to the neckline.
Instead, if the price once again bounces off the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the bulls remain in control. That will increase the possibility of a rally to $350. If buyers overcome this resistance, the BNB/USDT pair could start its march to $400.
Solana price analysis
Solana (SOL) has been squeezed between the uptrend line and the downtrend line for the past several days.
SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The flattish 20-day EMA ($97) and the RSI near the midpoint do not give a clear advantage either to the bulls or the bears. If the price sustains below the 20-day EMA, the SOL/USDT pair could dip to the uptrend line. If this support also cracks, the correction may deepen to $67.
On the contrary, the bulls will have to drive and sustain the price above the downtrend line to gain the upper hand. The pair may then ascend to $117 and subsequently to $126.
XRP price analysis
XRP (XRP) clawed back above the breakdown level of $0.57 on Jan. 10, indicating solid buying at lower levels.
XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
Both moving averages have flattened out, and the RSI is just below the midpoint, suggesting that the selling pressure is reducing. The bulls will have to shove and sustain the price above the downtrend line to signal the start of an up move. The XRP/USDT pair may attempt a rally to $0.67 and later to $0.74.
If bears want to prevent the upward move, they will have to quickly yank the price below the strong support at $0.54. If they succeed, it will clear the path for a further decline to $0.50 and eventually to $0.46.
Cardano price analysis
Cardano (ADA) rose above the moving averages on Jan. 10, but the bulls could not maintain the momentum and clear the hurdle at the downtrend line.
ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The bears are trying to pull the price below the 20-day EMA ($0.56), which may start a downward move toward $0.46. That may keep the ADA/USDT pair between the downtrend line and $0.46.The flattening 20-day EMA and the RSI just above the midpoint do not give a clear advantage either to the bulls or the bears.
This view will be invalidated if the price bounces off the 20-day EMA and pole vaults above the downtrend line. The pair could then retest the overhead resistance at $0.68. If this hurdle is cleared, the pair may rally to $0.90.
Avalanche price analysis
Avalanche (AVAX) turned up from the 50-day SMA ($34.83) on Jan. 10 and rose above the neckline at $38, indicating that the bulls are trying to trap the aggressive bears.
AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The 20-day EMA ($38.06) is flattening out, and the RSI is near the midpoint, indicating a balance between supply and demand. A close below the 20-day EMA could sink the AVAX/USDT pair to the 50-day SMA and later to $31.
Contrarily, if the price turns up from the current level, it will suggest that the bulls are trying to flip $38 into support. The pair may then climb to $44, where the bears are likely to mount a strong defense.
Dogecoin price analysis
Buyers pushed Dogecoin (DOGE) above the 20-day EMA ($0.09) on Jan. 11, but they could not achieve a close above it. This shows that the bears are viewing the rallies as a selling opportunity.
DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
If the price continues lower, the bears will try to tug the DOGE/USDT pair to the next support at $0.07. Buyers are expected to defend the level with vigor because a failure to do so could sink the pair to $0.06.
On the upside, the bulls will have to drive and sustain the price above the moving averages to indicate that the corrective phase may be over. The pair may then climb to the $0.10 to $0.11 overhead resistance zone.
Polkadot price analysis
Polkadot (DOT) bounced off the 50-day SMA ($7.09) and rose above the overhead resistance of $7.90 on Jan. 10.
DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The bulls tried to continue the up move on Jan. 11, but the long wick on the candlestick shows selling at higher levels. The bears are trying to pull the price below the 20-day EMA ($7.74). If they do that, the DOT/USDT will form a symmetrical triangle pattern.
Usually, the symmetrical triangle is a continuation pattern, but it behaves as a reversal set up at times. A slide below the support line could start a sharp decline, while a break above the triangle will open the doors for a possible retest of $9.59.
Polygon price analysis
Polygon (MATIC) surged and closed above the moving averages on Jan. 10, indicating aggressive buying by the bulls.
MATIC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The 20-day EMA ($0.88) has started to turn up, and the RSI is just above the midpoint, signaling a slight advantage to the buyers. If the price bounces off $0.89, the bulls will try to propel the MATIC/USDT pair to $1.
Conversely, if the price turns down and skids below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest a lack of demand at higher levels. That may keep the pair range-bound between $0.70 and $1 for a few more days.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
