比特幣 (BTC) 本週上漲至 52,000 美元上方，漲勢沒有顯示出疲倦的跡象。這表明對比特幣的需求在各個更高的水平上持續存在。鏈上數據分析公司 CryptoQuant 的一份報告稱，他們估計「超過 75% 的比特幣新投資」來自現貨比特幣交易所交易基金。
然而，沒有什麼是永遠上漲的。一些分析師懷疑近期漲勢過熱。當勢頭強勁時，很難稱之為頂部，但每個欣喜時刻最終都會達到頂峰，然後是急劇的回調。
每日加密貨幣市場表現。來源： Coin360
宏觀經濟因素可能成為近期市場反彈的阻力。 1 月16 日，芝商所的FedWatch 工具顯示，聯準會在3 月會議上降息25 個基點的可能性為63%，但在消費者物價指數和生產者物價指數數據公佈後，這一預期已降至10.5% 1 月仍高於市場預期。
比特幣是否會在短期內開始調整，這會拉低山寨幣嗎？讓我們分析一下前 10 名加密貨幣的圖表來找出答案。
比特幣價格分析
比特幣一直面臨52,000美元附近的阻力，但多頭並未向空頭讓出陣地，表明他們並不急於獲利了結。
BTC/USDT 日線圖。來源： TradingView
向上傾斜的20日指數移動平均線（46,947美元）顯示多頭佔上風，但高於81的相對強弱指數（RSI）顯示近期反彈可能過快。
如果價格從目前水準下跌並從 48,970 美元反彈，則表示多頭已將該水準轉變為支撐位。這將增加繼續上漲的可能性。
如果價格維持在 52,000 美元以上，BTC/USDT 貨幣對可能會上漲至 60,000 美元，這可能會成為一個巨大的障礙。相反，如果跌破20日均線，該貨幣對將面臨短期反轉的危險。
以太幣價格分析
2 月 14 日，多頭推動以太幣 (ETH) 突破 2,717 美元阻力位，顯示上升趨勢已恢復。下一個上行目標是 3,000 美元的重要心理關卡。
ETH/USDT 日線圖。來源： TradingView
過去幾天的大幅上漲已將RSI推入超買區域，顯示短期內漲勢可能過熱。這可能會導致未來幾天出現小幅調整或盤整。
If the price bounces off $2,717, it will suggest that the sentiment remains bullish and traders are viewing the dips as a buying opportunity. Instead, if the price turns down and slips below $2,717, it will suggest that the bulls are losing their grip. The ETH/USDT pair could decline to the 20-day EMA ($2,526).
Solana price analysis
Solana (SOL) turned down from $119 on Feb. 14 and is likely to retest the neckline of the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern at $107.
SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
If the price rebounds off the neckline, it will suggest that the bulls have flipped the level into support. That will enhance the prospects of a break above $126. The SOL/USDT pair will then attempt a rally to the pattern target of $135.
Contrarily, if the price breaks below the neckline, it will suggest that the bears continue to sell on rallies. The bulls will again try to arrest the fall at the moving averages, but if they fail in their endeavor, the pair may slide to $93.
BNB price analysis
The failure of a bearish pattern is a bullish sign that proved correct in the case of BNB (BNB). Buyers pushed the price above the descending triangle pattern on Feb. 8 and followed that up with a break above the overhead resistance of $338 on Feb. 15.
BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The long wick on the Feb. 15 and Feb. 16 candlestick shows the bears are trying to halt the upward move near $366. Sellers will have to drag the price below $338 to weaken the bulls. If they do that, the BNB/USDT pair could drop to the 20-day EMA ($322).
Contrary to this assumption, if the price consolidates near the current level, it will suggest that the bulls anticipate the up move to continue. A break above $366 will open the doors for a possible rise to $400.
XRP price analysis
XRP (XRP) turned up from the 20-day EMA ($0.53) on Feb. 14 and broke above the 50-day SMA ($0.55) on Feb. 15, indicating steady buying at higher levels.
XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The price has reached the downtrend line, which is likely to witness a tough battle between the bulls and the bears. If the bulls prevail, the XRP/USDT pair could accelerate toward $0.67. There is a minor resistance near $0.62, but it is likely to be overcome.
Contrarily, if the price turns down sharply from the current level and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the bears are fiercely defending the downtrend line. The pair may thereafter descend to $0.50.
Cardano price analysis
After struggling for a few days, Cardano (ADA) picked up momentum on Feb. 14 and broke above the immediate resistance at $0.57.
ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The upsloping 20-day EMA ($0.54) and the RSI in the positive territory indicate that bulls have a slight edge. There is a minor resistance at $0.62, but it is likely to be crossed. The ADA/USDT pair could then rally to the stiff overhead resistance at $0.68.
The important support to watch on the downside is at the moving averages. A break and close below the 50-day SMA ($0.53) will suggest that the recent breakout may have been a bull trap. The pair could then plunge to the solid support at $0.46.
Avalanche price analysis
The bulls nudged Avalanche (AVAX) above the $42 overhead resistance but could not sustain the higher levels as seen from the long wick on the Feb. 15 candlestick.
AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The price could dip to the 20-day EMA ($37.87), which is the first line of support. If the price turns up from the 20-day EMA, it will increase the likelihood of a break above $42. If that happens, the AVAX/USDT pair will complete a bullish inverse H&S pattern, triggering a rally to $50.
On the contrary, if the price continues lower and breaks below the moving average, it will suggest that the pair may swing between $32 and $42 for some time.
Related: Here’s what happened in crypto today
Dogecoin price analysis
Dogecoin (DOGE) turned up from the 20-day EMA ($0.08) on Feb. 14 and broke above the downtrend line, indicating that the bulls are trying to seize control.
DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
If the price maintains above the downtrend line, the DOGE/USDT pair is likely to pick up momentum and surge toward the $0.10 to $0.11 resistance zone. The bears are expected to defend this zone with vigor.
Alternatively, if the price turns down and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that every higher level is being sold into. The pair may then decline to the uptrend line and later to the strong support at $0.07.
Chainlink price analysis
Chainlink (LINK) has been facing profit booking near $20.85, but a positive sign is that the bulls have not ceded much ground to the bears.
LINK/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
This suggests that the sentiment remains positive, and traders anticipate the uptrend to resume. The upsloping 20-day EMA ($18.41) and the RSI in the positive territory also indicate advantage to buyers. A break above $20.85 could open the doors for a move to the pattern target of $21.79.
The 20-day EMA is the crucial support to watch on the downside. If this level is violated, the LINK/USDT pair may plummet to $17.32.
Polkadot price analysis
Polkadot (DOT) has been sustaining above the 50-day SMA ($7.25) for the past two days, indicating buying from the bulls.
DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The moving averages are on the verge of a bullish crossover and the RSI is in the positive zone, indicating that the bulls are making a comeback. The 20-day EMA ($7.20) is likely to act as a support on dips and the bulls will try to propel the price to $8.58.
This optimistic view will be negated if the price turns down sharply and breaks below the moving averages. The pair could then slump to $6, which is likely to attract strong buying by the bulls.
本文不包含投資建議或建議。每一項投資和交易行為都涉及風險，讀者在做決定時應自行研究。
